The Foresight Guide
Anticipating, Creating and Leading the Future
Our Aim: To be the World’s Best online resource for two vital things: professional foresight methods and practices, and adaptive futures stories and models. The first is commonly called “foresight” and the second “futures” in our field. The Guide asks you to consider life questions of personal, team, organizational, societal, global, and universal (six-domain) adaptiveness, and to answer them as best you can, guided by acceleration-aware, evo-devo, and evidence-based perspectives.
An encyclopedic resource for anyone interested in anticipating, creating and managing the future. The Foresight Guide is the first book anywhere that addresses a complete range of readers interested in the foresight field, including students, educators, and organizational leaders. It is a remarkably complete source for our times.
One part encyclopedia, one part text, one part self-help, one part editorial, and one part call to action. The field of foresight seems much bigger now than it did before reading this, and my professional reading list is now on a super-exponential curve!
What a work! It is all in here; this is the book to read to understand and overlook the entire field of foresight.
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Values and Beliefs – We think:
- Foresight begins with our visions for today. The better we can each foresee our Probable, Possible, Preferred, and Preventable (“Four P’s”) futures, today, tomorrow, and over the long-term, the better our lives, teams, and firms will be.
- Adaptive foresight requires good values (“normative foresight”). Empathy and Ethics (“E&E”) are our highest-priority values. Empathy allows us to understand, respect, love, and be kind to others, in all our astonishing diversity of minds. Ethics allow us to find and express feelings, thoughts, habits, norms, and rules that create more goodness (general adaptiveness) in ourselves and the world.
- To find and create better futures we must balance strategic optimism with defensive pessimism (diagnosing and avoiding preventable futures). We get protopias (better future places) only by effectively fighting against dystopias (all the ways we fail against our ideals).
- Good leadership starts with self-leadership, with unconditional self-acceptance and self-compassion for our strengths and faults as we understand them, and with striving to improve our current visions and actions in humble, honest, self-respecting, and mindful ways.
- To be human is to be a species that uses three great gifts—foresight, technology, and empathy-ethics (“Head, Hand, and Heart”) to continually become something more than our merely biological self. As the futurist Buckminster Fuller said, we are verbs, not nouns. In this 21st century, we can and will use foresight, science, technology, empathy, and ethics to improve the well-being of all life, even as those improvements change some aspects of the nature of life.
- We owe an incalculable debt to our natural world, to the evolutionary and developmental (“evo-devo”) processes that created it, and to all the generations of life and humanity that have come before us. Each has had beings striving to do the best they can, with what they had, failing, and making sacrifices, to create the complex world we live in today.
- Accelerating change is real. Humanity is now gaining scientific and technological superpowers, most obviously in AI. We must learn how to regulate and use them better, to distribute technology-created wealth and power more equitably, and to continually improve the three pillars of democratic society, self-actualized citizens, the market, and the state.
- Much good work remains to be done to make conditions better for all life on Earth. Many problems must be addressed, with the great majority created by ourselves, via our own past and present actions. Yet right here, right now is a very amazing and special time to be alive, and to be grateful for our lives, and for the adaptive foresight we can develop, together.
- See our Values and Beliefs page for a longer (and evolving!) set of values and beliefs that our community shares.
Goals – We help people:
- Get affordable, high-quality training in Personal, Team, Organizational, Societal, Global, and Universal (“Six Domains”) foresight and leadership.
- Realize the incredible power, promise and first-gen risks of exponential science and technologies.
- Get better at seeing, and helping others see, probable, possible, preferred and preventable (“4Ps”) futures.
- Become more intelligently optimistic, empowered, empathic, ethical, and evidence-based leaders and self-leaders.
- Grow their community of high-integrity, practical, future-oriented colleagues, friends, and acquaintances.
Activities – We are presently:
- Finishing The Foresight Guide, our two volume textbook on foresight practice and 21st century futures trends, predictions, scenarios, and stories.
- Building an open wiki, Futurepedia, for creation and critique of acceleration-aware, evidence-based collaborative foresight articles.
- Planning an annual conference, Good Futures, to support the nascent Futurepedia editor community, and to offer tutorials on foresight, entrepreneurship, leadership, and self-improvement
Would you like to help? If you are a creative, innovator, entrepreneur, speaker, forecaster, scholar, consultant, manager, advisor, coach, investor or scout, and you share our values and goals above, please join us. You’ve found your community! Email us with your background and interests. Working together we can see farther, work better, and thrive more than ever before.
Life is truly amazing!